Mental Models

A mental model is an explanation of how something works. They help understand life.

Assessing a situation and making a decision requires identifying how mental models factor into them. Understanding of a lattice-work of models assist in seeing the complexities inherent in each problem to determine the outcome.

Below is a running list of mental models.

5 Whys

12-Month Celebration

Ad Hominem

Adverse Selection

Alternative Hypothesis

Anecdotal Evidence

Anthropic Principle

Anti-Pattern

Appeasement

Autocatalysis

Availability Heuristic

Backfire Effect

Barbell Strategy

Base Rate Fallacy

Batman Effect

Bayes’ Theorem

Beachhead

Best Alternative to a Negotiated Agreement (BATNA)

Blowback

Breakfall

Brooks’ Law

Business Case

Bystander Effect

CALM

Cargo Cult

Central Limit Theorem

Chilling Effect

Circle of Influence

Circus

Clustering Illusion

Cobra Effect

Cognitive Dissonance

Collateral Damage

Collective Action Problem

Commandos vs. Infantry vs. Police

Concorde Fallacy

Confidence Interval

Confounding Factor

Conjunction Fallacy

Consensus-Contrarian Matrix

Consequence Conviction Decision Matrix

Containment

Correct Contrarian

Counterfactual Thinking

Countervailing Power

Crossing the Chasm

Crystal Ball Method

Dark Patterns

Data Dredging

Default Effect

Design Pattern

Law of Diminishing Marginal Utility

Disconfirmation Bias

Dreamlining

Ducks

Dunbar’s Number

Dunning-Kruger Effect

Endowment Effect

Effective Altruism

Eisenhower Decision Matrix

Endgame

Eulogy Method

Eustress

Expected Value

False Dependency

Fermi Estimation

Forcing Function

Free-Rider Problem

Frequentist

FUD

Fundamental Attribution Error

Gaia Theory

Gambler’s Fallacy

Girard’s Law of 250

Glass Slippers

Global Optimum

Goldilocks Rule

Golem Effect

Goodhart’s Law

Hanlon’s Razor

Heat-Seeking Missiles

Hedgehog Concept

Herd Immunity

Hick’s Law

High Context vs Low Context

Hofstadter’s Law

Homeostasis

Hydra Effect

Hysteresis

In-Group Favoritism

Institutional Knowledge

Inversion

Joy’s Law

Krulak’s Law

Law of Large Numbers

Le Chatelier’s Principle

Lindy Effect

Local Optimum

Luck Surface Area

Maslow’s Hammer

Maslow’s Hierarchy of Needs

Matthew Effect

Meta-Analysis

Metcalfe’s Law

Mexican Shootout

Mirroring

Monte Carlo Simulation

Murphy’s Law

Network Effects

Nonresponse Bias

Null Hypothesis

Observer Effect

Observer Expectancy Bias

Obsession

Ockham’s Razor

Odyssey Plan

OODA Loop

Operant Conditioning

Optimal Fragmentation Principle

Optimistic Probability Bias

Out-Group Bias

Overfitting

P-Hacking

P-Value

Paltering

Paradox of Practice

Parkinson’s Law

Parkinson’s Law of Triviality

Pareto Principle

Peter Principle

Pizza Effect

Plateau of Latent Potential

Potemkin Village

Power (Statistics)

Power Law Distribution

Precautionary Principle

Probability Distribution

Prisoner’s Dilemma

Protégé Effect

Proxy

Publication Bias

Pygmalion Effect

Redline

Regulatory Capture

Reitoff Principle

Replication Crisis

Resonant Frequency

Scarcity

Scenario Analysis

Schumpeter Hypothesis

Selection Bias

Semmelweis Reflex

Shoshin Approach

Shirky Principle

Simple Model of Rational Crime

Social Engineering

Spacing Effect

Straw Man Fallacy

Stockdale Paradox

Strategy Tax

Streisand Effect

Sustainable Competitive Advantage

Symbiosis

Systematic Review

Systems Thinking

Talisman

Technical Debt

Technology Adoption Life Cycle

Think Week

Thinking Gray

Third Story

Timeboxing

Top Idea in Your Mind

Tragedy of the Commons

Tyranny of Small Decisions

Uncertainty Principle

Utilitarianism

Utility Value

Veil of Ignorance

War of Attrition

Wheel of Life

Winner’s Curse